The Trophy Case

Duck season is here! And in honor of the opening of the season in Missouri, we are releasing a podcast that we recorded this past January with Christian Curtis, one of the founders of Banded and a friend of Trophy Properties and Auction.

From Passionate Hobbyist to Industry Pio...

In the world of agriculture, predicting crop yields is both an art and a science. For potential land buyers and sellers in Missouri, Illinois, Iowa, and Kansas, understanding how farmers estimate their annual yields is critical because it directly affects land values. At Trophy Properties and Auction, we specialize in helping clients navigate these complexities, ensuring that you can make well-informed decisions when buying or selling agricultural land. In this post, we'll explore how farmers project yields, the key factors influencing land productivity, and how all of this plays into the real estate market for farmland.

How Do Farmers Estimate Their Yields?

Farmers use several precise methods to estimate yields, and these methods vary slightly depending on the crop in question. Corn and soybeans, two of the most common crops in the Midwest, follow different approaches, but both involve understanding plant population, moisture content, and the average kernel or pod size per plant.

Estimating Corn Yields

For corn, the yield estimation process often starts with understanding plant population and ear development. Farmers will usually walk through their fields, pull random samples of corn ears, and then count the rows of kernels on each ear. The kernel count helps them calculate the yield per ear, which is then multiplied by the number of ears per acre. Here's a basic formula for estimating corn yields:

Corn Yield Formula:

Yield (bushels per acre)} =(({Kernel Rows} X {Kernels Per Row}) X {Ears Per Acre})/{85,000}

• Kernel Rows: The number of rows around the ear (always an even number, typically between 12 and 20).

• Kernels Per Row: The number of kernels in a single row (often between 30 and 40).

• Ears Per Acre: The plant population (in ears per acre), typically around 28,000 to 34,000.

• 85,000 kernels: An industry standard for the number of kernels in a bushel of corn.

Example Calculation:

If you have an ear of corn with 16 rows, 35 kernels per row, and 32,000 ears per acre, your yield estimate would be:

(16 X 35 X 32,000)/(85,000) = 211

This basic formula allows farmers to get an initial idea of what their harvest may look like. However, this estimate can fluctuate based on factors like moisture content, plant health, and weather patterns leading up to harvest.

Estimating Soybean Yields

Estimating soybean yields is a bit more complex due to the variability in pod counts and seed size. Soybeans are influenced heavily by rainfall and sunlight, which can make predictions less straightforward. Farmers will sample several plants in different parts of the field, count the pods per plant, beans per pod, and the number of plants per acre. A typical formula for estimating soybean yields looks like this:

Soybean Yield Formula:

{Yield (bushels per acre)} = (({Pods per Plant} X {Beans per Pod}) X {Plants per Acre}) / {Seeds per Bushel}

• Pods per Plant: The average number of pods on each plant, often between 25 and 50 in less productive fields, or 70 to 100 in high-yield fields.

• Beans per Pod: Typically around 2.5 to 3 seeds per pod.

• Plants per Acre: The number of plants in the field, usually between 100,000 and 150,000 plants per acre.

• Beans per Bushel: There are approximately 216,000 beans in a bushel

Example Calculation:

Let's say you estimate 2.5 seeds per pod, 35 pods per plant, and 120,000 plants per acre. With 216,000 beans per bushel, the formula would look like this:

(35 X 2.5 x 120,000)/(216,000) = 48.6 { bushels per acre}

This gives farmers a ballpark figure, but the estimates of beans are much less accurate than corn due to the variability of what the plants can produce per pod.

The Relationship Between Crop Yields and Land Prices

Land prices, particularly for tillable farmland, are closely tied to the expected productivity of the land. In regions like Missouri, Illinois, Iowa, and Kansas, crop yields are one of the most significant determinants of land value. Farmers, investors, and landowners alike need to understand how this relationship works when evaluating farmland.

How Crop Yields Drive Land Prices

High yields on Class A land naturally increase its desirability and value. For example, prime farmland in Missouri can range from $10,000 to $20,000 per acre depending on factors like soil quality, historical yields, and market demand. On the other hand, Class B or C soils, which may not have the same yield potential or nutrient retention, can sell for significantly less.

This price disparity is due to the long-term investment return that high-yield land offers. As yields increase, so do the profits per acre. Investors and farmers alike are willing to pay more for land that consistently delivers high crop production because it promises a better return on investment.

In contrast, Class B or C soils, while cheaper, may require substantial investment in fertilizers and soil amendments to produce competitive yields. Even then, they may never reach the productivity levels of Class A soils. This is why we often advise potential buyers to think long-term: investing in high-quality land, while more expensive upfront, usually offers better financial returns over the years.

Key Factors That Affect Yield and Land Value

Soil Type and Quality

Soil quality is perhaps the most critical factor in determining both yield and land value. Class A soils, which are rich in organic matter and nutrients, can support higher yields even in less-than-ideal growing conditions. For instance, northern Missouri has Class A soils that can hold more nutrients and moisture, making them less susceptible to drought.

Class B and C soils, while still productive, require more input in terms of fertilizers and water management. Buyers looking for a better deal may find value in Class B soils but should be prepared to invest in soil improvement practices to increase productivity.

Weather Patterns

Weather plays an enormous role in yield outcomes. While farmers can control many factors, they can't control the weather. Rainfall, sunlight, and temperatures during the growing season all impact how well crops perform. In drought years, yields drop, which in turn lowers land prices, especially in areas where irrigation isn't practical or available.

For example, in 2023, parts of the Midwest experienced lower-than-average rainfall, which caused a decrease in soybean yields and affected the per-acre value of farmland. Buyers should pay attention to both historical and current weather trends when considering land investments.

Farming Technology and Practices

Advances in farming technology, such as precision planting, variable rate fertilization, and hybrid seeds, allow farmers to optimize their crop growth. These innovations help farmers get the most out of marginal lands and increase yields on higher-quality land.

Genetically modified seeds, for example, are more resistant to pests and drought, enabling farmers to maintain high yields even in challenging growing conditions. Additionally, soil testing and grid sampling allow farmers to apply nutrients more efficiently, targeting areas that need it most, which can increase productivity on lower-quality soils.

Yield History and Consistency

Consistent yields over time increase a land's value. Buyers want to invest in land that has a proven track record of high yields because it offers a more predictable return. Fields with erratic or historically low yields will struggle to command high prices unless improvements are made.

Cost of Inputs

Fertilizer, seeds, irrigation, and technology all play a role in the cost of maintaining high yields. Investors must weigh the cost of these inputs against the potential return on investment. For example, Class B soil may require significant fertilization, but with today's high input costs, it may be more economically sound to invest in high-quality land with lower input needs.

What Should Land Buyers Know?

For those looking to invest in farmland, it's important to understand how yield projections can affect land prices. Class A soils in regions like Missouri, Illinois, Iowa, and Kansas typically offer the highest return on investment, as they consistently produce high yields with relatively lower input costs.

However, even if you're considering Class B or C soils, which may come at a lower price, it's critical to factor in the additional costs of soil improvements and fertilization. These lands can still offer a strong return on investment, especially if you use the latest farming technology to maximize yields.

What Sellers of Tillable Land Should Know

If you're planning to sell tillable land, understanding the factors that influence its value is crucial to getting the best possible price. As the agricultural real estate market continues to grow, sellers need to be aware of what buyers are looking for, and how they can maximize the perceived value of their property. Here are some key considerations:

Highlight the Quality of Your Soil

The most significant factor in determining the value of tillable land is soil quality. If your land has Class A soil, which offers high nutrient-holding capacity and better moisture retention, it will naturally command a higher price. Be prepared to showcase soil tests and yield history to potential buyers. If your property contains Class B or C soils, emphasizing improvements like proper fertilization, irrigation systems, or cover crops can still make the land more attractive to buyers.

Action Tip: If you are a farmer, you probably already have a soil grid sample; but if you don't, we recommend getting one done. A grid sampling test over 1 to 2-acre sections can provide a detailed report on soil health, fertility, and pH levels, giving potential buyers confidence in the land's productivity.

Provide Yield History and Data

Buyers are particularly interested in land with a proven track record of productivity. If your land has consistently produced high yields, this is an important selling point that can significantly raise its value. Be ready to share several years of yield data, along with any improvements you've made, such as soil treatments or enhanced irrigation systems.

Action Tip: Organize detailed records of your land's yield performance over the last 5-10 years. If you've used any advanced farming techniques like precision planting or variable-rate technology, highlight this as it shows the land is primed for continued high productivity.

Capitalize on Current Market Trends

Land values fluctuate based on market conditions, particularly commodity prices. For example, when corn and soybean prices are high, demand for tillable land increases, and prices per acre can soar. If you're considering selling, it's important to monitor these trends and time your sale during a favorable market.

Action Tip: Stay informed about current commodity prices and overall market conditions. If crop prices are on the rise, it could be a good time to list your land for sale.

Consider Selling at Auction

Auctions can be a great way to sell farmland quickly, while often yielding a higher price through competitive bidding. This method works particularly well for high-quality land that is expected to draw strong demand. Trophy Properties and Auction offers extensive experience in farmland auctions and can help you attract the right buyers and get the best price for your property.

Action Tip: Evaluate whether selling your land via auction might be the best strategy. If your land has desirable qualities like high yields, good soil, or a strategic location, an auction could drive up the final sale price.

Showcase the Potential for Future Returns

Buyers are not just looking at the current state of the land but also its potential for future returns. If your land is situated in an area with expected infrastructure growth, strong agricultural demand, or technological advancements in farming practices, this can be a major selling point.

Action Tip: If there are any upcoming infrastructure developments in your area, such as road expansions or new facilities that could boost local farming productivity, make sure to include this in your property listing. Future potential can often be just as enticing as current productivity.

Understanding how farmers estimate crop yields and how those estimates impact land prices can help potential land buyers and sellers make informed decisions. Whether you're looking to invest in high-quality tillable land in Missouri, Illinois, Iowa, or Kansas, understanding the relationship between crop yields and land value is essential to maximizing your investment. By taking into account factors such as soil quality, weather patterns, and technological advancements in farming, you can make smarter decisions when it comes to purchasing or selling farmland.

At Trophy Properties and Auction, our expertise in agricultural real estate ensures that you have the guidance you need to navigate the complexities of the farmland market. Whether you're looking to invest in prime Class A soil or seeking opportunities with Class B or C land, we can help you evaluate the potential return on investment based on projected yields and land characteristics.

If you're considering buying or selling land, contact us today to learn how we can help you achieve your goals in the Midwest land market. Together, we can ensure your investment yields results for generations to come.

We were lucky enough to hunt with nine-time World Champion duck caller, Kent Cullum, this past duck season. Since then, Kent has become a good friend of Trophy Properties and Auction. So much so, that he was generous enough in his time and talent to help us create this Duck Calling Masterclass!

In this masterclass, Kent shares invaluable insights into the art and science of calling ducks, emphasizing technique, equipment, and the subtle nuances that can make all the difference in the field. Let's break down some of his key points and tips to help you become a more effective duck caller.

The Basics of Holding and Using a Duck Call

One of the first things Kent emphasizes is the importance of how you hold and use the duck call. Many people mistakenly think it's complicated, but Kent simplifies it:

Grip: Hold the duck call between your thumb and first finger, wrapping your other fingers around the call but keeping them open enough to let the air flow properly.

Mouth Placement: Instead of putting the whole call in your mouth, rest it on your bottom lip, much like taking a sip from a soda bottle. This method seals the call and ensures no air escapes, giving you better control over the sound.

Understanding Air Pressure and Back Pressure

Kent explains that different calls require different air pressures. Modern calls are designed to be easy to blow, but understanding back pressure is crucial:

Back Pressure: This is the resistance you feel when blowing into the call. A call with good back pressure is easier to control and allows for more realistic sounds.

Sound Control: Kent demonstrates how calls without back pressure require more effort to sound realistic, whereas his calls flow naturally, making it easier to produce lifelike duck sounds.

Mastering Different Duck Calls

Kent breaks down the different types of quacks and calls you need to master:

Quack: The fundamental sound. If a call can't produce a good quack, it's unlikely to be effective.

Cadences: Ducks have a variety of sounds, from coarse hens to fine hens. Each has its own quack cadence, and learning these will help you mimic the ducks more accurately.

The Importance of Realism

One of Kent's core messages is the importance of sounding realistic. Ducks are smart, and they learn quickly. If your calls don't sound right, they'll avoid your location:

Happy Quacks: Use these when ducks are content and feeding. They are softer and more varied, mimicking a relaxed environment.

Alarm Calls: Avoid using these, they signal danger and can scare ducks away. Never quack with a loud and rising tone.

Practice and Equipment

Kent stresses the importance of using quality equipment. A good duck call is an investment that will pay off in the field. He also advises against starting with cheap calls as they don't provide the necessary range to learn effectively.

Lucky for you, Kent is the owner and operator of Hobo World Champion Duck Calls! These are the calls that Kent uses in the video and that we now use in the field, we can't recommend them enough.

http://www.hoboduckcalls.com/

Observing and Adapting

Successful duck calling involves constant observation and adaptation:

Watch the Ducks: Pay attention to how they react to your calls. If they're coming in, keep your calls soft and natural. If they're veering away, you might need to change your strategy.

Adjust Your Calling: Based on the ducks' behavior, you may need to switch from aggressive calls to more subdued ones, or vice versa.

Teaching and Sharing the Passion

Finally, Kent encourages hunters to share their passion with others, especially kids. Introducing young hunters to duck calling can instill a lifelong love of the sport. Ensure their first experiences are positive by choosing good weather and active hunting days. We couldn't agree more!

Kent Cullum's masterclass is a treasure trove of information for both novice and experienced duck hunters. By focusing on the fundamentals, investing in quality equipment, and continuously observing and adapting to the ducks' behavior, you can significantly improve your duck calling skills. Remember, the goal is to sound as realistic as possible and to enjoy the process.

Hopefully, these tips can help you in the field this fall. Good luck, have fun, and Feed the Family!

If you are looking for your own Trophy Waterfowl Property, Contact us Today!

In today's rapidly evolving real estate market, adaptability and innovation are essential. Recent industry shifts, including the impactful NAR ruling, highlight the perfect opportunity for agents to explore the powerful and efficient process of real estate auctions. Whether representing buyers or sellers, auctions with Trophy Properties and Auction can significantly enhance your business by streamlining transactions, boosting transparency, and maximizing profitability.

Embra...

Master Turkey Calling to Become a Dominant Turkey Hunting Force

For any hunter who wants to hunt turkeys, being able to call in longbeard gobblers is a required skill. Turkeys have incredible hearing and vision, so your calling ability can make or break a hunt. If you want to consistently kill these mature, wary birds, you must dedicate time to improving turkey calling skills across various call types. Mastering mouth calling and learning to orchestrate coordinated calling sequences with multiple calls is a huge step towards dominance in the turkey woods. This comprehensive guide covers multiple pro tips for better turkey calling to elevate your hunt success.

The Versatile Turkey Mouth Call

Long revered as one of the most effective turkey calling tools, the mouth call is a must-have for any hunter looking to improve turkey calling skills. The primary benefits are its hands-free operation, allowing you to keep your gun at the ready, and its ability to produce a wide range of vocalizations with subtle mouth inflections.

Mouth Call Tips:

- Take the longest mouth call reed and place it against the roof of your mouth, using your tongue to control vibration and raspy sounds.

- Don't just rely on your throat to make sounds - project air from your diaphragm muscles for louder, more carrying turkey yelps and cuts. Watch your abdomen move as you call.

- Master the natural inflections by nailing the high-pitched start to a yelp, transitioning into a raspier, deeper-toned ending. This replicates a real hen's physiology.

- Incorporate realistic intermittent calling elements like clucks, purrs, cackles, and pauses to avoid sounding robotically repetitive. Vary tempos too.

As you gain experience with mouth calls, you can incorporate advanced techniques to kick realism into overdrive:

- Use one side of your tongue to make more advanced turkey sounds like kee-kees, crisp yelp-cuttts, and smooth yelp-cutt transitions to mimic an extremely fired up hen.

- Project your yelps louder at specifically timed intervals to "shock" a gobbler into gobbling, raising their fight-or-flight instinct to breed.

- Try "throwing" your calling right or left as needed to steer an approaching gobbler towards your decoy setup.

Friction Calls: The Other Essential

While mouth calls are the most versatile turkey call, having a reliable pot/box call is essential for mixing up your calling approaches. Friction calls are able to achieve a volume that is difficult to replicate with a mouth call. If you are trying to locate a gobbler or reach one that is far away, a box call or loud pot call is a must-have. Also, using a friction call along with a mouth call allows you to convincingly play the role of multiple hens in your hunting scenario which can be the difference maker if you have a wary gobbler or one that already has hens with him.

Friction Call Tips:

- Use longer striker strokes against the outer edges and keep the soundholes fully open to produce incredibly loud, high-volume yelping and cutting.

- Go softer by partially obstructing the soundholes and using gentle, short motions. It is better to be good at calling quietly than loudly.

- Always ensure the striker motion goes from the glued/crimp area out towards the bevel edges to replicate the natural tone and inflection changes of a realistic yelp.

Sequencing: The Calling Game Within the Game

More than just knowing how to call turkeys, the most consistently successful hunters have mastered the art of sequencing their vocalizations properly over the course of a hunt. Turkey calling is a conversational game - mixing and matching the right vocalizations at key moments based on gobbler behavior and positioning is a massive advantage.

Here are some proven calling sequence strategies:

- Start with simplistic soft tree yelps at first light to mimic birds preparing to fly down, switching up to louder mouth calling and cutting when feet hit the ground.

- Flip intermittently between mouth calling and striking a pot call, keeping sounds unpredictably dynamic to pin a gobbler's interest.

- If a gobbler starts drifting one way or another or hanging up, get aggressive with loud cutting and yelping to trigger either a fight or breeding response to recharge his approach.

- Conversely, go silent for periods to eliminate the possibility of over-calling or allow a gobbler to relax and slowly close distance.

World-class callers intimately understand the nuances of wild turkey behavior and can orchestrate calling sequences specifically designed to trigger hard-wired reactions every step of the way. There's no substitute for time spent actually calling turkeys in the field to improve and ingrain skills. Take advantage of every opportunity to call - you'll gain invaluable experience in reading turkey language and reactions. The most accomplished hunters remain students of the game by constantly tweaking mouth and friction call methods, developing a conversational catalog of call sequences for any scenario. With a commitment to improving turkey calling prowess, each spring will bring more welcomed thunderous gobbles and fill more tags.